Increased C4 and decreased C3 levels are associated with a poor prognosis in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy: a retrospective study

Min Pan, Ji Zhang, Zhanyuan Li, Lingwei Jin, Yu Zheng, Zhihong Zhou, Su Zhen, Guoyuan Lu

An association between serum complement levels and poor renal prognosis in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) remains controversial. We conducted a retrospective study examining the relationship between serum complement levels and prognosis in patients with IgAN. Between 2009 and 2013, patients with biopsy-confirmed IgAN were identified from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical College, China, and various parameters were documented during follow-up until 2015. The definition of the primary endpoint was a decrease of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) more than 30% from their baseline levels. A total of 403 patients (55.3% female, average 33.7 months of follow-up) were identified and enrolled, with the primary endpoint occurring in 39 (9.8%) patients. Among the patients selected, 202 (50.1%) received corticosteroid treatment alone or in combination with another immunosuppressant (GS group), while others did not receive immunosuppressive treatment (non-GS group). The incidence of the primary endpoint was slightly lower in the GS group compared to the non-GS group (7.0% versus 12.6%, p = 0.06). Multivariate Cox proportional-hazard regression analyses, adjusting for age, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, 24-h urine protein, and immunosuppressive therapy, showed that serum complement 4 (C4) levels (hazard ratio [HR] 2.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.6-3.8, p < 0.001) and serum complement 3 (C3) levels (HR 0.6, 95% CI 0.2-0.6, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with a poor prognosis among patients with IgAN. We demonstrated that an increase in serum C4, as well as a decrease in C3, was an important outcome determinant for patients with IgAN. Testing serum C3 and C4 levels might assist in predicting renal outcomes among these patients.