Spatial distribution of short birth interval and associated factors among reproductive age women in Ethiopia: spatial and multilevel analysis of 2019 Ethiopian mini demographic and health survey

Sisay Yitayih Kassie, Habtamu Setegn Ngusie, Addisalem Workie Demsash, Tilahun Dessie Alene

Short Birth Interval negatively affects the health of both mothers and children in developing countries. Studies conducted in Ethiopia on the spatial variation and determinants of individual and community-level factors about short birth intervals were limited. Thus, this study was intended to assess the spatial variation of the short birth interval and its determinants in Ethiopia. This study is a secondary analysis of the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (mini EDHS 2019). A total of 1784 reproductive-age women were included in the analysis. The global spatial autocorrelation (Global Moran's I) and the Getis-Ord statistics tool were used to detect the presence of clustering and the high/low hotspot areas of SBI respectively. Ordinary kriging was used to interpolate short birth intervals, and spatial scan statistics were employed to identify spatial clusters with high and low SBI. A multilevel multivariable model was used to identify predictors of a short birth interval. The prevalence of SBI was 62.89% (95%CI: 59.3, 69.7) in Ethiopia. High clustering of SBI was observed in all parts of Somali, in Afar (zones 1, 3, 4, &5), Oromia (Guje, Bale, & West Harerge), and northern Tigray. The most likely significant primary cluster was observed in the Somali region. Women who lived in the primary cluster were 24% more likely to have a short birth interval than those who lived outside the window. In the multilevel mixed-effect analysis age 25-34 [(AOR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.35, 0.45)], 35-49 [(AOR = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.51)], Muslim religion follower [(AOR = 3.5, 95% CI: 2.7, 4.69)], no formal education [(AOR = 0.5, 95% CI: 0.37, 0.70)], primary education[(AOR = 0.4, 95%CI: 0.28, 0.53)], and secondary education [(AOR = 0.3, 95% CI: 0.24, 0.48)], middle [(AOR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.2, 1.52)], rich wealth status [(AOR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.3, 1.68)], female sex children [(AOR: 1.2, 95% CI: 1.09, 1.42)], and two or fewer ideal number of children [(AOR = 0.2, 95% CI: 0.25, 0.32)] were found to be significant predictors of SBI. Overall, SBI was high and significantly clustered across the region of Ethiopia. Age, religion, education, wealth status, the sex of the indexed child, and the ideal number of children were found to be significantly associated with short birth intervals. Hence, the government should design a health promotion strategy and public health awareness in the identified hotspot areas of SBI and should scale up family planning and the wealth status of reproductive-age women.