Improving prevalence estimation through data fusion: methods and validation

Tomàs Aluja-Banet, Josep Daunis-i-Estadella, Núria Brunsó, Anna Mompart-Penina

Estimation of health prevalences is usually performed with a single survey. Some attempts have been made to integrate more than one source of data. We propose here to validate this approach through data fusion. Data Fusion is the process of integrating two sources of data into one combined file. It allows us to take even greater advantage of existing information collected in databases. Here, we use data fusion to improve the estimation of health prevalences for two primary health factors: cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. We use a real data fusion operation on population health, where the imputation of basic health risk factors is used to enrich a large-scale survey on self-reported health status. We propose choosing the imputation methodology for this problem through a suite of validation statistics that assess the quality of the fused data. The compared imputation techniques have been chosen from among the main imputation methodologies: k-nearest neighbor, probabilistic modeling and regression. We use the 2006 Health Survey of Catalonia, which provides a complete report of the perceived health status. In order to deal with the uncertainty problem, we compare these methodologies under the single and multiple imputation frames. A suite of validation statistics allows us to discern the strengths and weaknesses of studied imputation methods. Multiple outperforms single imputation by providing better and much more stable estimates, according to the computed validation statistics. The summarized results indicate that the probabilistic methods preserve the multivariate structure better; sequential regression methods deliver greater accuracy of imputed data; and nearest neighbor methods end up with a more realistic distribution of imputed data. Data fusion allows us to integrate two sources of information in order to take grater advantage of the available data. Multiple imputed sequential regression models have the advantage of grater interpretability and can be used for health policy. Under certain conditions, more accurate estimates of the prevalences can be obtained using fused data (the original data plus the imputed data) than just by using only the observed data.