The prognostic value of biomarkers in stroke

Francesco Iemolo, Enzo Sanzaro, Giovanni Duro, Antonello Giordano, Maurizio Paciaroni

Ischemic injury triggers inflammatory cascades and changes in the protein synthesis, neurotransmitters and neuro-hormones in the brain parenchyma that may further amplify the tissue damage. The "Triage® Stroke Panel", a biochemical multimarker assay, detects Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP), D-Dimers (DD), Matrix-Metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9), and S100β protein generating a Multimarker index of these values (MMX). The aims of this prospective study in consecutive patients with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke were to assess: 1) the rate of an increase of biomarkers (BNP, D-dimer, MMP-9 and S-100β) tested with the Triage Stroke Panel; 2) the correlation between the increase of these biomarkers and functional outcome at 4 months; 3) the risk factors for the increase of biomarkers. The outcome of the study was 120-day mortality and it was compared in patients with Stroke Panel >4 and ≤4. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors for death and for the increase of biomarkers. 244 consecutive patients (mean age 73.02 years; 53.7 % males) were included in the study; 210 ischemic strokes and 34 hemorrhagic strokes. 161/244 (66.0 %) had an increase of biomarkers. At 120 days, 85 patients had died (34.8 %). Death was seen in 68/161 patients with an increase of biomarkers (42.2 %) compared with 17/83 patients without (20.5 %). Regression logistic analysis found that a Stroke Panel >4 (OR 3.1; 95 % CI 1.5-6.2, p = 0.002) was associated with mortality. The increase of biomarkers was independently predicted by an increase of PCR on admission (OR 2.9, 95 CI 1.4-6.0, p = 0.003). An increase of biochemical markers such as BNP, D-Dimers, MMP-9, and S100β tested with a Triage Stroke Panel (>4) was correlated with mortality at 120 days from stroke onset.