However, one important point thing that we ARE quite certain about is that "reported cases" have ALWAYS been under-ascertained. Best estimates are that most countries picked up less than 50% of their total number of cases in 2020, for example https://t.co/
@CalBD I assume the model output is true incidence of covid, not observed incidence. So using observed incidence on its own as a sanity check is not that helpful. Need to account for underascertainment of covid cases. https://t.co/CpCtTsphYw
3a) Usando una adaptación de este método https://t.co/Vyx5MRjk5o yo estimo muy conservadoramente un ~40% de la población expuesta al virus.
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
New from #wellcometrust https://t.co/OKZAVjRavo Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections.
New from #The_MRC https://t.co/OKZAVjRavo Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections.
RT @MDG1122: This is worrying stuff https://t.co/gR9Wkx56oj
This is worrying stuff
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
RT @AdamJKucharski: More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in…
You mean the U.S. *doesn't* have the best testing in the world?
More on early pattens of under-reporting in this analysis with @timwrussell @_NickGolding_ and others, now published in @BMCMedicine https://t.co/ysqCmD7URz 5/5 https://t.co/gTEpSKJyb5
RT @mbkoltai: Estimates for underestimation of covid19 cases in the pandemic's early phase. 'Across the 10 countries with highest # of tota…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
Estimates for underestimation of covid19 cases in the pandemic's early phase. 'Across the 10 countries with highest # of total confirmed cases [6 July], we estimated that the peak number of symptomatic cases ranged from 1.4 times (Chile) to 18x (France) la
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
FYI @MackayIM
RT @BMCMedicine: New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #C…
New #openaccess research from @timwrusselland colleagues: Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained #COVID19 cases and infections Read it here: https://t.co/umyWZpJaoO https://t.co/UderxOM4bW
In this study, researchers aimed to estimate whether the true numbers of symptomatic #COVID19 cases were larger than the number of confirmed cases reported globally Find out more from @BMCMedicine https://t.co/JgnFbiEwZd